The Wild West ... the outback ... The new world of the 1800s was a time of true liberty. People stood on their own merits. They won or they lost and they reaped the rewards or swallowed the consequences. There were no cubicle dwelling civil servants hell bent on saving you from yourself. No planning permits no licenses no permissions no heritage overlay no bylaw no regulators no inspectors. And guess what ... it worked

This site is set up to provide a forum for a number of like minded professional economists to post and comment on contemporary issues. There are a number of regular contributors whose bios are made available on the site. Most if not all of these contributors use a pseudonym for the simple reason that they are practicing economists who must take into consideration the commercial implications of posting their opinions.

While some may feel that this is a bit of a gutless approach it is the only way we can ensure free and open discussion without jeopardising our paycheques.

Showing posts with label economic stimulus. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economic stimulus. Show all posts

Wednesday, September 23, 2009

The good oil

The following pod cast gives a couple of alternative views about the lessons to be learnt from the great depression as they apply to our current global crisis. Worth a listen.

The New Financial Deal: What Do the 1930s Teach About Reforming Today's Financial Markets?

Speakers:John H. Cochrane, Myron S. Scholes Professor of Finance, University of Chicago Booth School of Business
Thomas F. Cooley, Dean, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, New York University
Charles Geisst, Professor of Finance, Manhattan College; Author of Wall Street: A History
Ingo Walter, Seymour Milstein Professor of Finance, Corporate Governance, and Ethics, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, New York University

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

The arts graduates have taken over (Roy Rodgers)


My apologies to all those with arts degrees. I'm sure you're living meaningful lives, contributing to society, adding value and all the rest of it.

Its just that at uni you were quite unmistakeably the butt of our jokes over in the economics and commerce faculties. I've actually forgotten how the jokes themselves went, but I remember the punch line, which was always the same and went something like this ... whats an arts degree good for ... wiping your arse. Boom Boom.

Well how wrong was I. It looks like an arts degree qualifies you for much more. In fact it appears to be a prerequisite for entry into Australia's political elite. Not just labour but liberal as well. The attached tables outline the educational qualifications of both our current cabinet and our current shadow ministry.

Over 50% of ministers and shadow ministers hold BAs including both big kev and mighty mal. Big kev holds a BA with majors in chinese language and chinese history, and no post grad. Take a second to digest that ... our prime minister has a degree in saying ni how and the decline of the ming dynasty ... he has no formal training in politics, law or economics.

Mighty mal didn't disclose what his majors were but on the up side he has done some post graduate training and is a Rhodes Scholar (the only other Rhodes Scholar in the bunch is Tony Abbott).

The second most popular degree is law, with over 56% holding some form of law qualification. You'll probably notice that quite allot of them double up on both BAs and LLBs.

There are three things that are immediately obvious to the casual observer.

1. Nearly everyone holds tertiary qualifications (all labour and most liberal). While we would expect to see high levels of tertiary qualifications, I think we should also see a number of accomplished people without quals ... such as those that have worked their way up off the factory floor or alternatively the entrepreneurs who have driven economic growth over the last couple of decades.

2. Another striking observation is the total lack of science degrees, engineering degrees or medical degrees. Where are these guys? These guys that actually know how to do complicated stuff.

3. The other thing that slaps you in the face is a lack of economics. Only approximately 20% have undergone any form of formal economics training.

I don't care what anyone says, economics is not something you pick up casually. I have never encountered anyone with a deep understanding and appreciation of economics that didn't have some formal training. To understand it requires actual study. This apparent under representation is alarming as economics is the one field that deals with allocation, of how resources should be shared and of how to maximise welfare for the community......the whole economy. And you would think that that is the core activity of governement, how to put in place and maintain a framework that allows us all the freedom to pursue our own endeavours and live by our own merits.

Given that these guys are the self proclaimed economic managers of our little slice of the world, we should all be alarmed that they are basically arts graduates or lawyers. Its like putting a cap on my 6 year olds head and telling him he's now the bus driver. Fasten your seat belts ... adjust your nappy and sit back for the ride.

It actually explains a lot. Now I know why Joe Hockey can't really engage in any deep economic argument (he's an arts grad), now I know why mighty mal asks questions like "whats marginal cost?" (he's an arts grad). It goes along way to explaining why swan thinks its a good thing to go around proclaiming 'this is a robin hood budget' (he's an arts grad) . Apart from the fact that in the analogy wayne is actually the sheriff, the contention is economically obnoxious and symptomatic of someone who is totally ignorant of the economic harm they are sowing.

This explains why as a group they are easily bamboozled by an econometric study. Why they think it's such a good idea to put price caps on natural gas. Why they think grocery markets need to be regulated. Why price caps need to be placed on petrol. Why keynesian economics actually has merit.

It explains away that embarrasing 7000 word dribble big kev coughed up for the monthly and why he seems to just not get Hayek.

This explains every thing ... they are all BLOODY ARTS GRADUATES!

I didn't include in the table their work experience prior to parliament. The following high level summaries should suffice ....

Labour
By way of short summary. For Labour the bulk of ministers hold either a BA or LLB, all (without exception) followed the work path of uni, then union or union legal representation followed by political appointments (eg ministerial advisors). There are no ministers who don't hold degrees or have spent time working on the actual factory floor. The only exceptions are a couple of ministers who have a background in education, ie used to be teachers and an ex rock star.

Liberal
While as with labour the bulk of shadow ministers hold BAs or LLBs there is a more diverse working experience ranging from company CEOs to milkmen and real estate salesmen. A small number of shadow ministers do not hold tertiary qualifications and there is more agricultural representation.

Its worth noting that both labour and liberal hold approximately the same number of ministers (shadow ministers) with economic training.


Tuesday, June 23, 2009

Whether to laugh or cry. (Roy Rodgers)

We’ve all heard about the economic stimulus. And we all know the basics …. Its a yea old school style reversion to the madness of Keynesian economics.

However, no amount of forewarning can prepare you for this …

http://www.economicstimulusplan.gov.au/pages/default.aspx

I must admit that when I first encountered this site I laughed solid for a good 2 hours. Then I emailed it to my mates and got to experience the joy of listening to them go hysterical.

For maximum frivolity go to the community infrastructure page and check out the list of approved projects. Some of the highlights include

- Water bubbler program in Mosman — installation of water bubblers in various locations around Mosman, some (note not all) providing specific wheelchair access - $20,000.

- Dunny and signs - Nackeroo Lookout Area Upgrade, Timber Creek. Upgrade of the Nackeroo Lookout area, including the construction of ablution facilities, commissioning and installation of interpretive signage for tourists and signage on road and tracks to ensure environmental damage is limited. - $110,000

- Green dunny - Construction of an Eco-Friendly Public Toilet at Springdale Park - Construction of an eco-friendy, composting public toilet in Springdale Park at Barellan Point, $83,500

- Air conditioning - Community Hall Air-conditioning Installation, Bowen - Installation of split system air conditioning in McKenna Hall, Bowen. $100,000

To give you a point of reference National Builders Group is currently prepared to build you a single story house with two bedrooms, two bathrooms, one kitchen, a lounge, a dining room, a lockup garage and a theater room for $131,900. Included in that price is a margin for the builder.

There are over 500 pages of these projects. God knows how many council staff kitchens are being upgraded. And then there’s another list for “strategic projects”. This list is even more hilarious because here the numbers turn from thousands to millions.

I'm not sure when green dunnies and air conditioning became core economic infrastructure, but hey this is how were going to beat the recession (the one were not actually having).

Word of caution … after you stop laughing you will start crying.